Friday, November 22, 2024

US election live: Republicans edge closer to House majority as Trump picks chief of staff

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Welcome and opening summary …

President-elect Donald Trump has named Susie Wiles, the manager of his victorious election campaign, as his White House chief of staff, the first woman to hold the influential role.

Wiles is widely credited within and outside Trump’s inner circle for running what was, by far, his most disciplined and well-executed campaign, and was seen as the leading contender for the position. She largely avoided the spotlight, even refusing to take the mic to speak as Trump celebrated his victory early on Wednesday morning.

Wiles’s hire is Trump’s first major decision as president-elect and one that could be a defining test of his incoming administration, as he must quickly build the team that will help run the federal government.

Meanwhile the Republicans are edging closer to a House majority, after picking up two more hard-fought seats in Pennsylvania.

Democrats won another seat in New York, defeating a third Republican incumbent in that state, and three US House seats in Nevada will remain under Democratic control after a sweeping win Thursday for the incumbents, but Republicans need just seven more seats to reach a majority of 218.

Here are the other key recent developments:

  • Speaking to NBC News, Donald Trump made clear that the mass deportations of undocumented immigrants that he campaigned on will be a top priority of his administration. “We obviously have to make the border strong and powerful and, and we have to – at the same time, we want people to come into our country,” Trump said, adding that, “I’m not somebody that says, ‘No, you can’t come in.’ We want people to come in”

  • The former CIA director and US defense secretary Leon Panetta predicted Trump will give Benjamin Netanyahu a “blank check” in the Middle East, possibly opening the way for all-out war between Israel and Iran

  • Joe Biden, in a speech from the White House, said he will “ensure a peaceful and orderly transition” to Donald Trump, while calling on the country to “bring down the temperature”

  • Biden is to focus on government funding and hurricane relief in his final weeks as president. With the clock ticking toward the end of his presidency, Joe Biden will focus on keeping the government funded and open, pass the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA), rush assistance to communities battered by hurricanes Helene and Milton, as well as confirm judicial nominees

  • The Russian president, Vladimir Putin, congratulated Donald Trump on winning the US presidential election, and said he was willing to talk to him. “I would like to congratulate him on his election as president,” Putin said in Sochi, a resort on the Black Sea

  • Several key races remain to be called, including the presidential outcomes in swing states Arizona and Nevada (where Trump is tipped to win), Senate races in those two states plus Pennsylvania and, perhaps most importantly, control of the House

  • Based on analyses of election results so far, it appears that Trump won by driving out the Republican base and making gains among certain groups that typically back Democrats. But split-ticket voters stepped up for Democratic senators and a governor in swing states, reducing their losses in what was otherwise a rough election

  • The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates further, saying progress has been made against the wave of inflation that struck the United States during Joe Biden’s presidency, which was likely a major factor in voters choosing Donald Trump as the next president

  • Trump’s sentencing in his business fraud trial scheduled for later this month? Probably not happening, Politico reports

  • Gavin Newsom, the California governor and potential presidential candidate some day, called the legislature into a special session to prepare to fight Trump

  • Democrats aired grievances over Harris’s election loss, with many pointing the finger at Biden and his aborted attempt at a second term

  • Americans are stockpiling abortion pills as Trump’s victory seems set to put foes of the procedure into positions of power

  • Harris was unable to settle on an effective message against Trump, and was hobbled from the start by Biden’s low approval ratings, a New York Times postmortem of her campaign finds

Key events

Project 2025 chief’s book urges ‘burning’ of FBI, New York Times and Boy Scouts

Martin Pengelly

A new book by the chief architect of Project 2025, a hugely controversial policy plan for a second Trump term, repeatedly employs imagery of fire and burning, including calling for rightwingers to “burn away the rot” of American institutions and organizations deemed opposed to conservative aims.

The news comes after a White House address on Thursday, two days after Donald Trump beat Kamala Harris in the US presidential election, when Joe Biden called on Americans to “bring down the temperature” after months of heated political battle.

Mixing classical quotes with cliché (“it is time to fight fire with fire”) and metaphors about forest fires and Smokey Bear, Kevin Roberts, president of the far-right Heritage Foundation, advocates “a long, controlled burn” of targets including the FBI, the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, the New York Times, “every Ivy League college” and even the Boy Scouts of America.

Meanwhile, Hungary’s prime minister believes Ukraine has already lost in its fight against Russia’s invasion and is predicting that Donald Trump’s new administration will abandon US support for Kyiv, Reuters reports.

Orban told state radio:

If Donald Trump had won in 2020 in the United States, these two nightmarish years wouldn’t have happened, there wouldn’t have been a war. The situation on the front is obvious, there’s been a military defeat. The Americans are going to pull out of this war.

Orbán has long sought to undermine EU support for Kyiv, and routinely blocked, delayed or watered down the bloc’s efforts to provide weapons and funding and to sanction Moscow for its invasion.

Vladimir Putin is ready to discuss Ukraine with Donald Trump – but that does not mean Putin is willing to alter his demands and Russia’s goals in Ukraine remain unchanged, the Kremlin said on Friday.

On Thursday, Putin congratulated Trump on winning the election, praised him for showing courage when a gunman tried to assassinate him, and said Moscow was ready for dialogue with the Republican president-elect.

Asked about a possible phone call between Trump and Putin, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said there was nothing concrete on it to report yet, and said it would be premature to talk of any improvement in Russia-US ties.

But Putin had made it clear many times he remained open for dialogue, he said.

Voters have elected a Republican majority in the Senate. They have also been electing members of the House of Representatives and state governors. You can see a full map of the results across the US here:

Swing state analysis: how Democratic vote stayed flat while Republican gains won it for Trump

Ashley Kirk

Ashley Kirk

Guardian analysis suggests Harris underperformed compared with 2020 – but in the states that mattered most it was Trump’s gains that won him the White House

Nationwide, the US election was primarily a story of Democratic underperformance rather than huge Republican gains compared to 2020 – but in the swing states that ultimately decided the victor, it was the opposite story, with Trump’s gains far outstripping Harris’s losses.

Across the US, Democrats lost more total votes overall compared with 2020 than Republicans gained: Harris attracted 1.4m fewer votes than her Democratic predecessor, Joe Biden, did, while Trump attracted 1.1m more than he did in the previous election.

The figures were calculated by looking only at counties that have 100% of their precincts reporting and at least 95% of their estimated ballots counted, and comparing the vote in those areas to 2020.

Another way of looking at the numbers is that for every 78 votes Donald Trump gained nationally compared to 2020, Kamala Harris lost 100.

But in the seven swing states – Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin – there was an inverse trend: the Democratic vote dropped very slightly but held up quite well compared to 2020, but Trump made enough gains to give him the White House. A large part of Democratic campaign spending was focused on the swing states, suggesting that this helped buoy up Democratic support – but not enough to overcome a wave of additional Trump voters.

At least 24 states also saw a larger drop in Democratic votes than any movement in Republican votes compared with 2020 (looking only at areas where counting was almost complete).

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Jamie Grierson

Jamie Grierson

The UK’s deputy prime minister, meanwhile, revealed she had spoken to the vice-president elect, JD Vance, posting on X that it had been “good to speak” to the Ohio senator.

Like her colleague David Lammy, Angela Rayner has a record of making critical marks of Trump, previously calling him an “absolute buffoon” over his handling of the Covid crisis.

Good to speak to US Vice President-elect @JDVance as UK Deputy Prime Minister.

We spoke about our plans for the future and how, working together, we build on the special relationship between our great countries.

— Angela Rayner (@AngelaRayner) November 7, 2024

She had told ITV: “He has no place in the White House. He’s an embarrassment and he should be ashamed of himself, especially when thousands of Americans have died.”

After he lost the election in 2020, she said she was “so happy to see the back of Donald Trump”.

The awkward comments go both ways, however. In July, Vance said the UK would be an “Islamist country” under the new Labour government.

“I have to beat up on the UK – just one additional thing,” Vance said. “I was talking with a friend recently and we were talking about, you know, one of the big dangers in the world, of course, is nuclear proliferation, though, of course, the Biden administration doesn’t care about it.

“And I was talking about, you know, what is the first truly Islamist country that will get a nuclear weapon, and we were like, maybe it’s Iran, you know, maybe Pakistan already kind of counts, and then we sort of finally decided maybe it’s actually the UK, since Labour just took over.”

In response at the time, Rayner said Vance had said “quite a lot of fruity things in the past” and she does not “recognise” his view of the UK.

UK foreign secretary says his Trump criticism is ‘old news’

Jamie Grierson

Jamie Grierson

The British foreign secretary, David Lammy, has described his previous remarks about the US president-elect, Donald Trump, as “deluded, dishonest, xenophobic, narcissistic” and a “neo-Nazi sympathising sociopath” as old news.

Keir Starmer’s government is making efforts to smooth over tensions with the incoming president, whose pledge to raise tariffs on imports into the US could hit the UK economy.

Britain’s foreign secretary, David Lammy. Photograph: Rodger Bosch/AFP/Getty Images

Appearing on BBC Newscast, Lammy was pressed on his past critical comments but dismissed them, adding it would be a “struggle to find any politician” who had not said some “pretty ripe things” about Trump.

Asked if he apologised for remarks including calling the president-elect a “neo-Nazi sympathising sociopath” or if Trump brought them up when they met in New York in September, Lammy said “not even vaguely”.

A federal judge has struck down a Biden administration policy that aimed to ease a path to citizenship for some undocumented immigrants who are married to US citizens.

The program, lauded as one of the biggest presidential actions to help immigrant families in years, allowed undocumented spouses and stepchildren of US citizens to apply for a green card without first having to leave the country.

The temporary relief from deportation brought a brief sense of security to some 500,000 immigrants estimated to benefit from the program before Texas-based U.S. District Judge J. Campbell Barker put it on hold in August, days after applicants filed their paperwork.

Barker ruled yesterday that the Biden administration had overstepped its authority by implementing the program and had stretched the legal interpretation of relevant immigration law “past its breaking point.”

The short-lived Biden administration initiative known as “Keeping Families Together” would have been unlikely to remain in place after Donald Trump took office in January. But its early termination creates greater uncertainty for immigrant families as many are bracing for Trump’s return to the White House.

CNN’s latest projection of the crucial races to gain control of the House has Republicans ahead in ten of the contests, with, according to their projections, only six victories needed to tip them over the magic 218 for control.

AP has called 410 of the 435 races, with the Republicans seven away from control of the House.

Reuters reports that speaking in Budapest, German chancellor Olaf Scholz, whose own government is in crisis, has said “We will continue to work well with the future American president” when asked about the election of Donald Trump.

Scholz added “the question of how this can be achieved has been the subject of our discussion,” referring to a meeting of senior European leaders held yesterday in Hungary.

Writing for MSNBC, political columnist Zeeshan Aleem has pinpointed what he says is the one sentence that shows how defeated Kamala Harris misread the election.

He described her telling Sunny Hostin on ABC’s The View that she wouldn’t have changed anything about the Biden administration’s policies as “an act of political malpractice.”

He writes:

Harris was in a tricky position during the campaign — she was running simultaneously as incumbent and newcomer, and it’s difficult to create distance from an administration whose accomplishments one wants credit for.

But it was far from an inescapable predicament: Competent politicians often get away with talking out of both sides of their mouth.

Harris could’ve said that she took pride in working with Biden in shepherding the US out of the Covid crisis, but that she could hear the American people say that they were still hurting, and that she stood for a sharply new perspective on the economy that was laser-focused on bringing down costs.

Her limited discussion of inflation lacked a clear story or theory of society. Who was to blame for why everything became so expensive? She left hammering corporate greed on the table, and her initial broadsides against big business ebbed as she sought out the input and support of Wall Street and Silicon Valley and even chose billionaires as surrogates.

The Republicans are just a handful of calls away from gaining control of the House, but House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries has said he can still see a path to victory for the Democratic party.

In an interview overnight, quoted by the Hill website, Jeffries said:

We still have a clear pathway to taking back the majority. Of course that runs through Arizona and Oregon and five races that are flip opportunities in California that are too close to call and too early to call.

You can find the latest results for the US Senate, House and governor elections here …

The election of Donald Trump has far-reaching consequences for US foreign policy, including the Biden administration’s long-standing support for Ukraine. This morning, Hungary’s far-right prime minister Viktor Orbán, has said he expects US funding to end.

Reuters quotes Orbán as saying “The Americans will quit this war, first of all they will not encourage the war. Europe cannot finance this war alone.”

In this morning’s First Edition newsletter, my colleagues Archie Bland and our senior international affairs correspondent Emma Graham-Harrison discuss what Trump means for Ukraine …

China is bracing itself for four years of volatile relations with its biggest trading partner and geopolitical rival, as the dust settles on the news that Donald Trump will once again be in the White House.

On Thursday China’s president, Xi Jinping, congratulated Trump on his victory and said that the two countries must “get along with each other in the new era”, according to a Chinese government readout.

“A stable, healthy and sustainable China-US relationship is in the common interest of both countries and is in line with the expectations of the international community,” Xi said.

The Guardian’s Amy Hawkins and Helen Davidson report:

Jared Kushner, son-in-law of US president-elect Donald Trump, will not return to the White House, the Financial Times reported on Friday, but Kushner could advise on Middle East policy, the report said, citing people familiar with the matter.

Welcome and opening summary …

President-elect Donald Trump has named Susie Wiles, the manager of his victorious election campaign, as his White House chief of staff, the first woman to hold the influential role.

Wiles is widely credited within and outside Trump’s inner circle for running what was, by far, his most disciplined and well-executed campaign, and was seen as the leading contender for the position. She largely avoided the spotlight, even refusing to take the mic to speak as Trump celebrated his victory early on Wednesday morning.

Wiles’s hire is Trump’s first major decision as president-elect and one that could be a defining test of his incoming administration, as he must quickly build the team that will help run the federal government.

Meanwhile the Republicans are edging closer to a House majority, after picking up two more hard-fought seats in Pennsylvania.

Democrats won another seat in New York, defeating a third Republican incumbent in that state, and three US House seats in Nevada will remain under Democratic control after a sweeping win Thursday for the incumbents, but Republicans need just seven more seats to reach a majority of 218.

Here are the other key recent developments:

  • Speaking to NBC News, Donald Trump made clear that the mass deportations of undocumented immigrants that he campaigned on will be a top priority of his administration. “We obviously have to make the border strong and powerful and, and we have to – at the same time, we want people to come into our country,” Trump said, adding that, “I’m not somebody that says, ‘No, you can’t come in.’ We want people to come in”

  • The former CIA director and US defense secretary Leon Panetta predicted Trump will give Benjamin Netanyahu a “blank check” in the Middle East, possibly opening the way for all-out war between Israel and Iran

  • Joe Biden, in a speech from the White House, said he will “ensure a peaceful and orderly transition” to Donald Trump, while calling on the country to “bring down the temperature”

  • Biden is to focus on government funding and hurricane relief in his final weeks as president. With the clock ticking toward the end of his presidency, Joe Biden will focus on keeping the government funded and open, pass the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA), rush assistance to communities battered by hurricanes Helene and Milton, as well as confirm judicial nominees

  • The Russian president, Vladimir Putin, congratulated Donald Trump on winning the US presidential election, and said he was willing to talk to him. “I would like to congratulate him on his election as president,” Putin said in Sochi, a resort on the Black Sea

  • Several key races remain to be called, including the presidential outcomes in swing states Arizona and Nevada (where Trump is tipped to win), Senate races in those two states plus Pennsylvania and, perhaps most importantly, control of the House

  • Based on analyses of election results so far, it appears that Trump won by driving out the Republican base and making gains among certain groups that typically back Democrats. But split-ticket voters stepped up for Democratic senators and a governor in swing states, reducing their losses in what was otherwise a rough election

  • The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates further, saying progress has been made against the wave of inflation that struck the United States during Joe Biden’s presidency, which was likely a major factor in voters choosing Donald Trump as the next president

  • Trump’s sentencing in his business fraud trial scheduled for later this month? Probably not happening, Politico reports

  • Gavin Newsom, the California governor and potential presidential candidate some day, called the legislature into a special session to prepare to fight Trump

  • Democrats aired grievances over Harris’s election loss, with many pointing the finger at Biden and his aborted attempt at a second term

  • Americans are stockpiling abortion pills as Trump’s victory seems set to put foes of the procedure into positions of power

  • Harris was unable to settle on an effective message against Trump, and was hobbled from the start by Biden’s low approval ratings, a New York Times postmortem of her campaign finds

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