Thursday, November 14, 2024

UK grocery inflation picks up to 2.3%; unemployment rises while regular wage growth slows – business live

Must read

Key events

Metro Bank fined £17m for money-laundering failures

Metro Bank has been fined nearly £17m by the UK’s financial watchdog for failings in its money-laundering controls over four years.

The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) issued the £16.7m penalty after finding failures in monitoring 60m transactions over a four-year period that risked a “gap being left in the defence against the criminal use of the financial system”.

Problems persisted despite being raised by junior employees three years before they were completely resolved, the regulator said.

Metro Bank has been fined £16.7m by regulators for failings over money laundering controls from 2016 to 2020. Photograph: Mike Egerton/PA

Metro said it accepted the FCA’s findings and had since resolved the monitoring system failings and enhanced its processes.

The challenger bank, which has 76 branches and 2.7 million customers, launched in the UK in 2010 as the first high street bank to open in more than 100 years.

From June 2016, Metro automated the monitoring of customer transactions for potential financial crime.

DCC shares jump on break-up plans

Shares in the Irish support services firm DCC jumped after the company laid out plans for a break-up of the business to focus on its energy division.

DCC, which is headquartered in Dublin but listed on the FTSE 100 in London, hopes to capitalise on opportunities in energy transition such as biofuels, and announced plans to sell its healthcare division by 2025 and evaluate strategic options for its technology arm over the next two years.

The shares soared by 17% and are now trading 13.3% higher.

Donal Murphy, the chief executive, said:

We are announcing decisive actions today to simplify our group, pursue our largest growth and returns opportunity and unlock substantial shareholder value, from positions of strength. This aligns with our philosophy of disciplined capital allocation.

In the energy sector we are building a unique, multi-energy, sustainable business focused on supporting our customers with their energy transition. Our strategy will deliver strong profit growth, high returns and a significant reduction in our customers carbon emissions.

Our healthcare and technology divisions have a long and successful heritage in DCC. They are high-quality businesses, led by strong, entrepreneurial management teams. Our actions are designed to ensure that these businesses and our people have the best opportunity to grow and progress.

Share

Updated at 

Vodafone says there won’t be price rises after Three merger

Jack Simpson

The finance boss of Vodafone has assured customers that they will not experience price rises as a result of its proposed merger with Three, which could be completed next year.

Speaking to journalists after it published its half year results, Margherita Della Valle, chief financial officer at the telecoms company, said its pricing strategy would not change after the merger.

The comments come after the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) said last week that the deal could be pro-competitive if the pair pledged to continue the roll-out of 5G and put in place some short-term price commitments.

Della Valle said that the companies had made a decision to freeze all packages under 20 gigabytes for the next three years, if the deal goes ahead.

She said:

The merger is pro-competitive because we create a third scale operator that can compete with the big two (BT/EE and Virgin Media O2) already in the market.

Going forward, there will be more competition because there will be a third scale network capable of competing with these two.

The competition watchdog will now make its final decision on whether the merger can go ahead on 7 December, with the two companies expecting to complete the merger in early 2025 if given the green light. The enlarged group would serve about 27 million customers.

Della Valle also said the merger would create between 8,000 and 12,000 jobs in the UK, with some of this offset by job cuts due to synergies of roles after the merger.

The comments came as the London-listed company saw revenues hit €15.1bn (£12.5bn) for the first half of the year, up 1.7% on last year’s figure. This came despite revenues falling in Germany, its biggest market.

A Vodafone mobile store in London. Photograph: Andy Rain/EPA

AstraZeneca CEO: taking China probes ‘very seriously’

AstraZeneca’s chief executive has said that the drugmaker is taking investigations by Chinese authorities into its business in the country “very seriously” and will “fully co-operate” with them.

Authorities are thought to be investigating the importation of two AstraZeneca cancer treatments into China.

Pascal Soriot’s remarks came as Britain’s biggest pharmaceutical company lifted its 2024 revenue and profit forecasts, and announced it was spending $3.5bn on research & development and manufacturing of cancer and other drugs in the United States, in its biggest investment in at least a decade.

The company’s share price has fallen over the past fortnight, since it announced that its China president, Leon Wang, who was executive vice president for internatinal market, was standing back because he is under investigation by Chinese authorities. Alongside Wang, two former and two current executives have also been detained over allegations of illegally importing oncology medicines. AstraZeneca’s China business is now being run by Michael Lai, the general manager.

Chinese authorities are understood to be investigating the importation of AstraZeneca’s cancer drug Imjudo, which has not been approved for sale in China, as well as shipments of Enhertu between Hong Kong and China. Enhertu is another cancer treatment that was first licensed in Hong Kong and then in China. The investigations concern the five individuals, and not the company itself.

Soriot said:

We take the matters in China very seriously. If requested we will fully cooperate with the authorities. We remain committed to delivering innovative life-changing medicines to patients in China.

There has been a wider crackdown by Beijing on drugmakers and hospitals in recent years as part of an anti-corruption campaign, aimed at bringing rising medical spending under control.

AstraZeneca reported a 21% rise in revenues to $13.6bn between July and September, catapulting pre-tax profit 24% higher to $1.8bn, stripping out currency moves.

Here is our full story the UK job market:

The UK’s jobs market has shown further signs of cooling after a rise in unemployment in September while pay growth slowed.

Figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) show the rate of unemployment rose to 4.3% in the three months to September, up from 4% the previous quarter.

While the ONS warned its jobs market figures should be treated with caution amid data collection issues, there were broader signs of a slowdown from separate figures showing the number of employees on company payrolls fell by 9,000 over the quarter. Vacancies also fell for a 28th consecutive month to the lowest level since May 2021.

The government has come under pressure from businesses after outlining tax increases in the budget, including a rise in employer national insurance contributions (NICs) that bosses have said could lead to job cuts.

And here’s some instant analysis from our outgoing economics editor Larry Elliott:

For the past few years only cursory attention has been paid to the unemployment figures because the jobless rate has been low and there have been plenty of unfilled vacancies for those seeking work. But, thanks to a slowing economy and decisions made by Rachel Reeves in last month’s budget, that could be about to change.

For the next few months every release on the state of the labour market will be scrutinised to see what impact two announcements made by Reeves last month are having on jobs.

Inevitably, the chancellor’s decision to increase the national minimum wage by 6.7% and increase employer national insurance contributions will have some effect but it will take months to assess how big those effects will be.

UK grocery price inflation rises while supermarket sales hit 2024 high

Grocery price inflation in the UK picked up in October, while supermarket sales hit their highest level so far this year, as shoppers started their Christmas shopping early, buying mince pies and Christmas cake.

Grocery prices rose by 2.3% year-on-year, up from 2% in September “but still within typical levels,” according to retail analysts Kantar. The rate has been below 3% every month since the early summer.

Promotional activity by the grocers is helping to keep prices down. Fraser McKevitt, head of retail and consumer insight at Kantar, said:

Spending on deals has been going up consistently for the past 18 months and it now makes up 28.6% of all sales. Offers are helping to lift branded sales especially. The growth gap between brands and own-label is the biggest it’s been since February 2021, sitting at 4.9% and 2.7% apiece.

Take-home sales at the big supermarket chains and other grocers increased by 2% over the four weeks to 3 November to reach £11.6bn, making this the biggest sales month of the year so far.

Christmas came early, with 14.4% of households picking up mince pies in October while 648,000 shoppers have already bought a Christmas cake. Halloween also boosted sales.

An Ocado delivery van seen driving in Hatfield. Photograph: Matthew Childs/Reuters

McKevitt said:

Many of us got into the spooky spirit last month, as 3.2m households bought at least one pumpkin. Confectionery spending also got a boost to £525m in October as sales of chocolates and sweets both went up, climbing by 13% and 7% each.

Trips to the supermarket hit a four-year high at 480m, the highest since before the pandemic.

Ocado topped the growth table, boosting its sales by 9.5% over the 12 weeks to 3 November, while the two largest supermarkets in Britain – Tesco and Sainsbury’s – also outperformed the wider market.

Asda continued to struggle, with sales down 5.5% while the Co-op’s sales fell by 2.1%.

Share

Updated at 

Liz Kendall, the work and pensions secretary, said:

2.8 million people – a near record number are locked out of work due to poor health. This is bad for people, bad for businesses and it’s holding our economy back.

That’s why our Get Britain Working plan will bring forward the biggest reforms to employment support in a generation, backed by an additional £240m of investment.

And while it’s encouraging to see real pay growth this month, more needs to be done to improve living standards too. So, from April next year over three million of the lowest paid workers will benefit from our increase to the National Living Wage, delivering a £1,400 a year pay rise for a full-time worker.

Responding to the news that unemployment has risen to 4.3%, Liberal Democrat Treasury spokesperson Daisy Cooper said:

Any rise in unemployment is concerning and many will be worried about the impact of the upcoming National Insurance hike on British jobs.

Small businesses have been clobbered by years of Conservative economic vandalism and the government’s jobs tax could now make it even harder to hire new staff and give out pay rises. Jobs and salaries could be in for yet another hit and that’s just not fair.

The new government should be supporting our small businesses, not placing more financial pressures on them. Ministers must change course, starting by exempting GPs and social care providers from the National Insurance hike.

The job market figures come after the government set out tax increases in the budget, including a rise in employer national insurance contributions (NICs) which business leaders say could hit hiring and pay increases.

Paul Daley at Capital Economics added:

Even though the rise in pay growth in September will probably be followed by a bigger gain in October, as the new public sector pay deals start, the easing in private sector regular pay suggests that the Bank of England will continue to cut interest rates gradually. We continue to think the Bank will skip the December meeting and cut rates at the following February meeting.

Public sector pay will probably jump again in October as the 5-6% pay deals agreed in recent months start to take effect… Most important for the Bank, was that private sector earnings excluding bonuses was stable at 4.8% in September. That left it exactly in line with the rate the Bank forecast last week.

Gora Suri, an economist at PwC UK, said:

The labour market continues to loosen, with vacancies dropping further, though still slightly above pre-pandemic levels. The unemployment rate also ticked up slightly to 4.3%.

But wage growth is proving to be a little more persistent. Annual growth in employee’s total earnings is up to 4.3%, reflecting the civil service one-off payments made in the summer. Despite a loosening labour market, nominal pay growth remains in excess of the circa 3% level that is considered to be consistent with the Bank’s 2% inflation target. Real pay continues to grow given that inflationary pressures have fallen back at a faster pace than wage growth.

Looking ahead, businesses are likely to face increasing cost pressures. Almost simultaneously, they have been hit with a trifecta of policy changes which raise their costs – an increase in employer NICs, a rise in the National Living Wage and the Employment Rights Bill. If businesses pass some of this onto workers, this could weigh on pay growth in the short to medium term.

Asda and Sainsbury’s said last week that the NIC rise would cost them £100m and £140m respectively as they warned they could pass these costs on in the form of higher prices, while Tesco faces a £1bn increase in its national insurance bill this parliament.

Share

Updated at 

Introduction: UK unemployment rises while regular wage growth slows; bitcoin breaks $89,000

Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets and the world economy.

Unemployment in the UK has gone up, while regular wage growth slowed to the lowest rate in more than two years, according to official figures.

The unemployment rate rose to 4.3% between July and September, up from 4% in the June to August quarter, according to the Office for National Statistics, which warned that the job market figures should be treated with caution due to data collection issues.

Pay excluding bonuses climbed by 4.8% year-on-year, the lowest since June 2022. Including bonuses, wage growth picked up to 4.3% from 3.8%, although this was affected by one-off payments made to the civil service last summer.

Liz McKeown, the ONS’s director of economic statistics, said:

Growth in pay excluding bonuses eased again this month to its lowest rate in over two years. Pay growth including bonuses increased, but for recent periods these figures have been affected by last year’s one-off payments made to public sector workers.

Job vacancies have fallen again, as they have been doing for more than two years now. However, the total still remains a little above where it was before the pandemic.

The number of job vacancies fell to its lowest level since May 2021, down by by 35,000 on the quarter to 831,000 between August and October.

The pound fell by 0.5% to $1.2806, the lowest since mid-August, after the figures were released.

Paul Daley, chief UK economist at Capital Economics, said:

Overall, there is little here to suggest the Bank of England needs to worry that the loosening in the labour market and the easing in underlying wage growth are coming to an end.

Asian shares tumbled amid disappointment over Beijing’s latest economic stimulus package, and as investors worried about president-elect Donald Trump’s policies.

Meanwhile, bitcoin jumped to a new high of more than $89,000.

The Shanghai market lost 1.3% while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng slid by 3%.

The price of bitcoin, the world’s best-known cryptocurrency, has more than doubled from $37,000 a year ago, as markets are expecting lighter regulation of crypto currencies under a Trump administration. Bitcoin touched $89,982 and is now trading around $89,300.

The Agenda

Share

Updated at 

Latest article