Thursday, January 9, 2025

FTSE 100 Live: Melrose surges; Trump tariff pledges hit US-facing firms

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  • FTSE 100 down 20 points
  • Trump doubles down on Tariff plan
  • Shop price declines slow

11.20am: Trump Mexico and Canada tariff pledges hit tequila maker Diageo

Diageo PLC (LSE:DGE) was among those hit in the wake of Donald Trump’s latest pledge to introduce sweeping tariffs on goods from Mexico and Canada.

Shares in the Guiness maker, which distils Don Julio tequila in Mexico and operates sites across the country, fell as much as 3.5% on Tuesday morning.

President-elect Trump on Monday vowed to bring in 25% tariffs on goods from Mexico and Canada come his first day in office in January.

XTB analyst Kathleen Brooks noted Diageo’s drop came given it was a “large exporter to the US”.

“Big overseas earners” JD Sports Fashion PLC (LSE:JD.) and Shell PLC also dropped 2.6% and 0.5% respectively, AJ Bell analyst Dan Coatsworth pointed out, while carmaker Volkswagen Group came under pressure too as fears grew of the tariffs stretching to goods from elsewhere.

10.48am: Compass Group eyes ‘opportunities’ from Budget

Compass Group PLC (LSE:CPG) boss Dominic Blakemore has highlighted the “opportunity” presented by an increase in employer national insurance following last month’s Budget.

Following results on Tuesday, the catering giant’s head took a different view of the Budget, which has been criticised by UK firms and prompted warnings of price hikes and failures.

The “cost and complexity” of higher taxes will likely pressure firms and increase demand for outsourcing, he told investors.

“The NIC rate increase increases cost for everyone. We see an opportunity in first-time outsourcing.”

Shares climbed 1.9% on Monday.

10.06am: Gold tumbles as dollar gains on Trump tariff promises

Gold remained under pressure on Tuesday morning as the dollar spiked on the back of Donald Trump’s latest pledge to introduce tariffs upon taking office.

Spot gold was trading at US$2,625 an ounce come mid-morning, having fallen 1.86% for the day and to its lowest price for a week.

The dollar gained against foreign currencies in the meantime, climbing against both the euro and the pound.

President-elect Trump on Monday unveiled plans to set 25% tariffs on goods from both Canada and Mexico come his first day in office in January.

Pledging the move through a post on his Truth Social platform, he also signalled 10% tariffs would be slapped on goods from China.

“This was Trump’s most direct assertion about his tariffs plan since winning the election. It suggests that China, Canada and Mexico are in his sights,” XTB analyst Kathleen Brooks said.

“The omission of Europe from his attacks may suggest that Europe is not a top priority, however, it is early days, and there are plenty of opportunities for Trump to direct his attention to Europe down the line.”

9.38am: Melrose shines as tariff fears weigh elsewhere

Melrose Industries PLC (LSE:MRO, OTC:MLSPF) shares surged on Tuesday morning, placing it as an outlier on London’s blue-chip index.

A bullish stance from JPMorgan analysts saw it placed it on ‘positive catalyst watch’ ahead of results next March and get a share price target upgrade from 650p to 850p.

Shares in the aerospace manufacturer jumped 8% to 569.6p on Tuesday as a result, leaving as a standout as peers came under pressure from Trump’s tariff plan.

SPI partner Stephen Innes noted Trump’s promise, to introduce tariffs of 25% on Canada and Mexico on his first day as president, had “dramatically escalated tensions”.

The “bold declaration” shattered “lingering hopes” of an “era of moderation” under new Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, he said. 

“That Europe was not mentioned in Trump’s first tariff post could perhaps be welcome news on the continent,” ING global markets head Chris Turner said. 

“Yet local policymakers will remain fearful that it will just be a matter of time before Trump turns his attention to the European auto sector or tariffs more broadly.”

European markets dropped across the board as a result, with the FTSE 100 off 35 points at 8,256.

9.14am: Shop price inflation expected ahead

A trend of deflation across UK shops could be coming to an end after price declines slowed this month, British Retail Consortium (BRC) has warned.

Shop prices fell by 0.6% in November, against October’s 0.8% drop, according to figures on Friday.

This marked the first time in almost a year and a half that shop price inflation increased month on month.

“With significant price pressures on the horizon, November’s figures may signal the end of falling inflation,” BRC chief executive Helen Dickinson commented.

Non-food product prices declined by 1.8% over the month, though this was slower than the 2.1% drop seen in October, while food inflation slowed to 1.8% from 1.9%.

Dickinson warned the industry faced a £7 billion uplift in costs on the back of last month’s Budget employer national insurance contribution hike and higher minimum wages.

“Retail already operates on slim margins, so these new costs will inevitably lead to higher prices,” she said… Read more

8.50am: Stocks drop as Trump doubles down on tariff plan

Renewed commitments to introduce sweeping tariffs by president-elect Donald Trump weighed on stocks into Tuesday morning.

Trump on Monday evening said on his Truth Social platform that he would “sign all necessary documents to charge Mexico and Canada a 25% Tariff on ALL products coming into the United States, and its ridiculous open borders” upon taking office in January.

Commodities faced a blow on the post, sending the likes of miners down early on, while the pound also dropped 0.19% against the dollar to US$1.2544.

“It seems that Trump is seeking to assert his authority following his nomination of [Scott] Bessent as Treasury Secretary, a decision that markets anticipated would moderate Trump’s policies,” Tickmill Group partner Patrick Munnelly commented.

“Trump expressed his affection for the term ‘tariff’ only last month; therefore, his recent remarks should not have been unexpected, although their timing was.”

The comments also weighed on Asian markets, including those in China for which tariffs are also expected to be introduced.

Back in London, the FTSE 100 shed 37 points to sit at 8,254.

8.40am: AO World bumps up guidance

AO World PLC (LSE:AO.) has lifted its profit guidance for the year after an improved first half performance, despite the impact of unseasonably wet weather.

Revenue increased 6% to £512 million during the six months to September, the electricals retailer reported on Tuesday, pushing operating profit up 11% to £16 million.

On an adjusted basis, operating profit surged 30% to £17 million, prompting AO World to hike full-year guidance for the figure to between £39 million and £44 million, against £36 million to £41 million previously.

“We’ve had a Morecambe and Wise summer sales period; all the right volumes just not in the right categories,” chief executive John Roberts noted.

“The wet summer weather meant we sold fewer fridges and air conditioning units and more tumble driers than we had planned”… Read more

8.12am: FTSE 100 opens on the back foot 

London’s blue chips dropped as trading got underway on Tuesday, sending the FTSE 100 down 25 points to 8,266.

Compass led fallers early on, despite hiking its dividend on improved profit over the year.

Panmure Liberum noted the results, which showed operating profit up 16.4% at almost US$3 billion, were “in line” with expectations, alongside guidance for high single-digit underlying operating profit growth in 2025.

Diageo PLC (LSE:DGE) was also among early fallers, alongside Anglo American PLC (LSE:AAL), Antofagasta PLC (LSE:ANTO) and NatWest Group PLC (LSE:NWG).

8.03am: Compass lifts dividend as profit climbs

Compass Group PLC (LSE:CPG) has hiked its dividend after a surge in profit over the course of the year.

Revenue jumped 10.6% to US$42.2 billion (£33.6 billion), aiding a 16.4% increase in operating profit to just under US$3.0 billion, the food services firm said on Tuesday.

A final dividend of 39.1 cents was declared on the back of the results, taking the total for the year to 59.8 cents and up 13.7% on 2023.

Revenue in North America ticked up 10.9% to US$28.6 and by 15.0% across Europe to US$9.9 billion, but fell elsewhere by 3.7% to US$3.7 billion… Read more

7.42am: Halfords warns of Budget hit as profit drops

Halfords Group PLC (LSE:HFD) has warned of a £23 million surge in costs following last month’s Budget and unveiled a drop in profit for the first half.

Revenue dipped by 1.0% to £864.8 million during the six months to September, or by 0.1% on a like-for-like basis, while reported pre-tax profit fell 23.3% to £17.8 million.

Higher employer national insurance and minimum wages were set to fuel costs next year, it said, meaning inflation inflation “may” be passed through on the company’s managed services.

“The cost implications from the recent UK Budget are particularly acute for a specialist retailer that provides expert advice and assistance to customers,” chief executive Graham Stapleton commented.

“While we will work hard to mitigate these costs, we urge the government to consider alternative ways of supporting businesses like ours.” as a result, Halfords warned.

Uncertainty around the Budget had also caused volatile trading in recent months and left doubt over the latter half of the year, the company said… Read more

7.12am: FTSE 100 set to backtrack

Futures had the FTSE 100 falling back 44 points to 8,272 on Tuesday morning in a reverse of Monday’s 29-point gain.

JD Sports Fashion PLC (LSE:JD.) had led the index higher on Monday, followed by the likes of Entain PLC (LSE:ENT) and airlines as oil prices receded.

Oil remained downtrodden into Tuesday, with benchmark Brent crude trading at US$73.21 a barrel and down from as high as US$74.99 the day before.

Overnight, Asian markets dipped into the red, led by a 0.9% drop for Japan’s Nikkei.

5.00am: Compass amon a string of firms to report

Tuesday brings a string of updates from London-listed companies, before HP and Crowdstrike’s results from across the Atlantic.

Compass should be in line to exceed expectations, analysts believe… Read more

Announcements due: 

Trading updates: Intertek Group PLC (LSE:ITRK), Safestore Holdings (LSE:SAFE) PLC, Seraphim Space Investment Trust, Topps Tiles PLC (LSE:TPT)

Interims: Accsys Technologies (AIM:AXS) PLC, AO World PLC (LSE:AO.), Augmentum Fintech PLC (LSE:AUGM), Brickability Group PLC (AIM:BRCK), Caledonia Investments (LSE:CLDN), Cranswick PLC (LSE:CWK), FD Technologies, Halfords PLC, Helical (LSE:HLCL) PLC, IG Design Group PLC (LSE:IGR), Intercede Group (AIM:IGP)  PLC, Kinovo PLC (AIM:KINO, OTC:BILBF), LondonMetric Property PLC (LSE:LMP), Mercia Asset Management PLC (AIM:MERC), Schroder Real Estate Investment Trust (LSE:SREI) Ltd, Sosandar (AIM:SOS) PLC, Supreme PLC (AIM:SUP), Telecom Plus PLC (LSE:TEP), Vp PLC

Finals: Compass Group PLC (LSE:CPG), Essensys, Renew Holdings (AIM:RNWH)

US earnings: CrowdStrike Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:CRWD), HP Inc (NYSE:HPQ)

AGMs: Aura Energy Limited, CleanTech Lithium PLC (AIM:CTL, OTCQX:CTLHF), Seraphim Space Investment Trust PLC (LSE:SSIT), Tlou Energy Ltd (AIM:TLOU, ASX:TOU, BSE:TLOU), Tungsten West PLC (AIM:TUN, OTC:TNGWF)

Economic announcements: CBI Distributive Trades (UK), Consumer Confidence (US), New Homes Sales (US), Fed Minutes (US)


 

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