Donald Trump is ahead in the majority of the seven key swing states, a new Telegraph poll shows.
The Republican has increased his support in the four crucial states in the Sun Belt by one point, according to the latest in a series of surveys conducted by Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph.
This has taken him into the lead in Georgia, Nevada, Arizona and North Carolina.
With just over two weeks to go to polling day, the 78-year-old has moved to take the lead in most of the 2024 battlegrounds.
He is neck-and-neck with his Democratic rival Kamala Harris in Michigan and Pennsylvania, both of which Joe Biden won by narrow margins in 2020.
The US vice-president leads Trump in just one of the battlegrounds, Wisconsin, and by a single point, 47 to 46 per cent.
In national polls, Trump and Ms Harris are locked in a dead heat and the presidential race will ultimately come down to the results in a few crucial states where both major parties enjoy similar levels of support among the voting population.
In the past few weeks, the Harris campaign has undertaken a media blitz which included a poorly received Fox news interview and a controversial CBS sit-down, which has embroiled the network in an impartiality row after it edited one of the presidential hopeful’s answers to make it more “succinct”.
Smallest of margins
In the latest polling for The Telegraph, of 8,533 people, Trump is leading Ms Harris by just a single digit in Georgia and Nevada, where he has the support of 48 per cent of voters and 47 per cent, respectively.
In 2020, Mr Biden claimed Georgia by the smallest of margins — 0.3 per cent — with just 11,779 more votes out of the almost five million ballots cast.
Trump holds a slightly larger, three-point lead over Ms Harris in Arizona, where 49 per cent of voters said they intend to cast their ballot for him, and North Carolina, where 48 per cent said the same.
In all four key states where Trump leads Ms Harris, the former president has increased his support by just one point since the last Redfield & Wilton poll for The Telegraph, on Oct 15.
Trump and Ms Harris are in a dead heat in Michigan and Pennsylvania.
Trump is the only Republican to have won Michigan since George HW Bush in 1988, having narrowly beaten Hillary Clinton in the state in 2016.
Mr Biden’s support had waned in the state, home to the heart of America’s car industry, and packed with blue-collar workers. While Ms Harris has gained some ground since the US president quit the race, the polling for The Telegraph suggests she continues to struggle in a state with a large Arab and Muslim population amid dissatisfaction with the administration’s stance on the conflicts in Gaza and Lebanon.
Voters in Michigan trust Trump more on the economy, inflation and immigration — three of their top priorities overall — previous Telegraph polling has found. In the most recent polling, conducted between Oct 16 to 18, voters listed the economy, abortion and immigration as the top issues that will determine how they cast their ballots.
The polling is bad news for Ms Harris, whose hopes of winning the White House rely on strong performances in the Rust Belt battlegrounds of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, all three of which the 60-year-old visited on Monday.